Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eliminate | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Domestic Product | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bounteous | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Sturdy | 0.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shamrock Shake | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dangerous Driver | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Middle Market | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Plate | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Mischief | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Hydra | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everyoneloveslinda | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Meghan | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | To a T | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Dame Cinco | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | I’m Buzzy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Good Penny | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Overacting | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokie Eyes | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snowy Evening | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stella Mars | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bernt Again | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sals Dream Girl | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Jasmine | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crimson Princess | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russiarussiarussia | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monroe | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boardwalk Fries | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Chess Master | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Run Curtis Run | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chewing Gum | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fluid Situation | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 11 | Cazadero | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Comedy Town | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Legends Can’t Die | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vacation Dance | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Nolo Contesto | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Souzak (FR) | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3C | 16 | Clem Labine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Souper Energizer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 13 | Senbei | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 15 | My Harbors Dream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Oxymore | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 14 | Alternate Reality | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweet Willemina | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Pretti Xtreme | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Willemina | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bustin Bay | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toned Up | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missy Greer | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First to Act | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allamericanbeauty | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty O Toole | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Chelsey Flower S.) – Chelsey Flower S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ozara (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cynane | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Lightning | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Latte Lizzie | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flowers for Me | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Burgundy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Living Magic | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gavea (GER) | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Czech | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tricky Temper | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Being Betty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Takemetothebeach | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Day Away | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Athenia S.) – Athenia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Bliss | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Technical Analysis (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fluffy Socks | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beaute Cachee (FR) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkle Blue | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncorked (AUS) | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Evidencias (BRZ) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Favor | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eight Danzas | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Dracarys | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bold Ruler S.) – Bold Ruler S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Durante | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Ride | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cowan | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Provocateur | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Dreams | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Oak | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jeff Fa Fa | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pirate Rick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Slapintheface | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tony O | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fake Celebrity | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Kreesa | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dolly’s Bank | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian Quest | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Forever | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bettrluckythangood | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mugsy Fury | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Domination | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Refuah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Prince of Troy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Charming Jim | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Atlanta’s Acuna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hari | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Beary Funny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.