Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strictly Taboo | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 7 | Strictly Taboo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shaman Princess | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Cerretta | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Splashy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She’s a Natural | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Neigh Jude | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Turriga | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Over Me | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Cherbourg | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Cuprite | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 11 | Bussia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Bomber | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daydreaming Boy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Systemic Change | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Moonlight | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Better Justice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Volatility | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep It Sexy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It Wasn’t Me | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avalanche Is Comin | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Katie’s Checkride | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Miss Tapit | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Exotic Cat | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duneen Bay | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dramatic Effect | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rosy Tomorrows | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tooshay | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jolly Miss Jill | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exogen | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maggie | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dufresne | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amity Island | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Loca | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Autumn Glory | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Dancer | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Weekend Rags | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Principessa | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Latest Edition | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Linarite | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Monet | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bern Rosey Bern | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robyn and Eli | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Unions | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bunty Windermere | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | A Maize Zing Dotie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spooky Lady | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fancypants Juliana | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Supers Lucky Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Queens Over Threes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Houlton | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heartened | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Live to Ride (GB) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Night | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marceau | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skyler’s Artemis | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Right to Vote | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quokka | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Glory | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Team Captain | 6.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spirit Prince | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Otello | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | I See You Lookin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ignite the Light | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Shamrock Shake | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fluff the Pillow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Roman Goddess | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Try It Again | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostly Girl | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vax | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Lady Kim | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mursal | 1.60 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Reply | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Timbuktu | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Headlight | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Mischief | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Conscience | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lachaise | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gem Mint Ten | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spiritual King | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kingdom On Paws | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laurel Valley | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Marbooz | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Kringle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Barrel of Quests | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Shinsun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Whistler’s Honor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Be of Courage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Noble Huntsman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montauk Mystique | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Two Redheads | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Liberty | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotham Gray | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strange Fruit | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Morning Kiss | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Mystique | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Army of Thoughts | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maxing the Bank | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bank Holiday | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eastern Star | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Countess Constance | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Darling Cat | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar and Speights | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.