Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rockstar Red | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fight’n Ready | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exemplified | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solomon Vandy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Skippy | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unwrapped | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Away From Home | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz the Coast | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Gatekeeper | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cuore d’Oro | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dre Me Less | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Choctaw Bingo | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Good Fortune | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Island | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Xylophone | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Moon Pie | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitten Calls | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memphis Cash Queen | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seaward | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pelletier | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| My Good Fortune | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Up On the Edge | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Liam’s Message | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noriskit Nobiscuit | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Standoutsensation | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Works | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wee Bit O Mischief | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Business as Usual | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iuka Miss | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | When I Look At You | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Surprise | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mother Freedom | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| Noriskit Nobiscuit | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | First Defender | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Western Command | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer in Malibu | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Say When | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eli’s Promise | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Clutch | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiringo | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Judge Davis | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Town Barber | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bench | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gilded Ruler | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Donegal Mischief | 2.50 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runningforcash | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Huntertown | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arabian Prince | 10.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Trust Daddy | 10.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Snow Dance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nota Belle | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tarifa | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Regulatory Risk | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Round the Town | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life Advice | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lookster | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Bernar Mosa | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Idalou | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes to Champagne | 4.50 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Streetwhereyoulive | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thorpedo Anna | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Waggle Pass | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Circling | 8.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scenic Beauty | 20.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Treasure | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Raining Sugar | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yatta | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Umeboshi | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetcatherinerose | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Sense | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Waves | 1.60 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leucadia | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dozen Diamonds | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kamikaze Umagi | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ask Amanda | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gigi’s World | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ducale | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raise Cain | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nelson Avenue | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Condemn | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angkor | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Santos Dumont | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vittorio | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Night Time | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Determinedly | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Embrace | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Swing Shift | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | W W Candy | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Major Blue | 30.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fan Club | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Missionaire | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Command’ Oro | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crossing | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mo Saturdays | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Stonks | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Weyhill Road | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moesahandful | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Toast | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Now That Ican Rock | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Mohegan | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heart N Soul | 4.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | As One Does | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nation | 3.50 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Egyptian King | 20.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Added Mischief | 12.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Nick | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.