Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Velocheetah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jubilant Joanie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Wife | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stage Bell | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fracing Allstar | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doodle Doo | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alter the Stars | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imperator Furiosa | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ziva | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Free Will | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blue Kentucky | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Distractor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solidify | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Panic | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tee Burns | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Franz Josef | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lykan | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Couth | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | I Feel the Need | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | East Shore | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnightcandystorm | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Windy Bay | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steel Racer | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosario’s Prayer | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Efficacious | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Floris | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catherine Blaze | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marshside Mama | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C C Cruise Control | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mustang Lady | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Such Sounds | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thestral | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spicy Italian | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandra D | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wits and Wagers | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Special Element | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Lou’s Legacy | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rivetage | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Fair | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Anthem King | 5.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Air of Defiance | 3.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Smooth | 6.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nyquist Frequency | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popweiser | 8.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Line | 10.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justifreak | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nullify | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’smyluckytime | 8.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Banana Plan | 30.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yell County | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Punchbowl | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Insignia | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skratch Kat | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Music Street | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shezz Koldazice | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jag Warrior | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Dotsie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Be My Sunshine | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Shoplifter | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Around the Sun | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Eivissa | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Condone | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tituba | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beach Walkn | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jenny Lind | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yarborough | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hola Gata | 2.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Foley | 3.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mint Edition | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empirical View | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlee O | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lakeside Music | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Catalina Crush | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ozone | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finish the Mission | 8.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Track Light | 8.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sterling Honor | 6.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | This Time Blue | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | We Miss Arlington | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Higginsville | 10.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knicks Storm | 4.50 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atomic | 15.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Joke | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Army Kid | 20.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runnin Munnin | 6.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Karlwithanarl | 12.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Droptop Caddy | 8.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.