Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
5 |
Union Lights |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
4 |
Cheeky Tico |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magical Ways |
0.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charger |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
6 |
Prince of Joy |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1A |
3 |
Gut Feeling |
0.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Irish Gent (IRE) |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
First Trumpet |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Typhoon Fury |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bourbon Outlaw |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Pet Mat |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
2 |
Won Team |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Street Earnings |
12.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
1A |
15 |
Laser Sharp |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Rapture Bay |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Migratory |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Zingales King |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Ocala Rocket |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Izzy d’Oro |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Air Invasion |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Dilger (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sister Linda |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vegas Weekend |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Suspended Campaign |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gringotts |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Triple P |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Halo City |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
I’m Buzzy |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Good Rapport |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Lucky Luke |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Good Rapport |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Proven Hope |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Uncle Water Flow |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Legendary Lore |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strong Light |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scotto |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Happy Bob |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bad Larry |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chalky Cat |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Woodside Warrior |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
War Prince |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Watch Hill |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Busta |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Majestic Arc |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Malibu Mystery |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Light the Way |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Burton Way |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Phelpsy |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silo Ridge |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Opportunity Set |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flying Liam |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Login Required |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Holding Au Pair |
50.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Let’s Go Big Blue |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
12 |
Cut the Cord |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
13 |
14 |
Shadow Dragon |
1.60 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Straight Arrow |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
12 |
13 |
Callaloo |
4.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
14 |
15 |
Big Bobby |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1A |
8 |
Uncle Curly |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Citizen K |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Agent Creed |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
9 |
Ocala Dream |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
11 |
Battle Scars |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Born Dancer |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
3 |
King of Comedy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
10 |
Itsallcomintogetha |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Curly Larry and Mo |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Newport Bridge |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ten Cent Town |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
G Munning |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dr. Settle’s Dream |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Last Mission |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
General Banker |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trappe the Dream |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Debbie Darling |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shoppingatbloomies |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charisse |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Royal Vow |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Purest Performance |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Benevolently |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jannie Mae |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lem Me Drink |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Arisaema |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Pinstripepizzo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Montauk Mystique |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Follow the Fed |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bomb Squad |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Miss Barb |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Duneen Bay |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.