Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shotshell | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blocked | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stand for Freedom | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bucktown | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Muldoon | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talkscheap | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vale | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Way | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canavall | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Libertango | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy’s Candy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Fool | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stormin Love | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Rush Is On | 50.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Andy’s Candy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jilly’s West | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salming | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Anchor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cruisin and Boozin | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stormy Mesa | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Wings | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Patriot Hills | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Higginsville | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stretch Ride | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Edified | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seize the Grey | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Astronomico | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightline | 0.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stretch Ride | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ham Sandwich | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sticky Note | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | You Gotta Have Fun (IRE) | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willow Bend | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charriere | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maotai | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Jam | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shell Shock | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coexist | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roc’s Princess | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promise of Hope | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | It Takes Heart | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Heckled | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boltoro | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zipadoo | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Treasure | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blessing the Flag | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King’s Secret (GB) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southampton Dock | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catmint | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Animal Fries | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Fly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Medaglia Forever | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dornoch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Django | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allied Victory | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greers Ferry | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lat Long | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Redfield | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Maestro | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nuevo Empire | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tennessee Lamb | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dive Bomber | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Play It Loud | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | No Judgment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nineeleventurbo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Relations | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Base | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten Mischief | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quadra Island | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Seven Charms | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O P Firecracker | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharar | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Altazor (ARG) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Montauk Point | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Over the Channel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | February Son | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Out of Deductions | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Microphone (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pumpkin Scone | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zeitlos | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Blaze | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rarify | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Accede | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dear Lady | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rosie’s Alibi | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Macho Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You Little Vixen | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Tipsy Chix | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Lily | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Queen Elizabeth Ii Challenge Cup S. Presented By Dixiana) – Queen Elizabeth Ii Challenge Cup S. Presented By Dixiana
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindy (FR) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Papilio (IRE) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mission of Joy | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Liguria | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sounds of Heaven (GB) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mawj (IRE) | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Freydis the Red (FR) | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elounda Queen (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Princess (FR) | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lindy (FR) | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prerequisite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Safeen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Heavenly Sunday | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Mission | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | First Mission | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Creative Minister | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Airtime | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Implementation | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keystone Field | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cooke Creek | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Commandperformance | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Centurian | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tartufo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Saqeel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | He’s a Mess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gunoe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Curly Jack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.