Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Patty Cakes | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Or Won’t | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Abbie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six the Hard Way | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alexa’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Again | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Life On the Nile | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amani’s Tiger | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Four Days Early | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Juan | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Fold | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master Mojo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Working Man | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kashan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Protomagic | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Be Honest | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen’s Dream | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liking It Twisted | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Red Button | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thea’s Theme | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Pepper Grill | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bold Medication | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | City Humor | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nieuwendyk | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ventilator | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Playboy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excalibrate | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Golden One | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Me Or Don’t | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Social Joe | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Eh Hennessy | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smoochinwithcindy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delta Charm | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toot Your Horn | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beatiful Karla | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tita Mimosa (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Warrior | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Penny Polka | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Voltamour | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hop and Scotch | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guillaume | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate Irony | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Khozy My Boy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Sarcastic | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Nightmare | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dramatized | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Angry Man | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mount Travers | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Castagno | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Reconvene | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Noble Conquest | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | King’s Honor (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Rocky Run S.) – Rocky Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catire Vizcaya | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thedingoateyobaby | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frankie’s Empire | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Tax | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Willy D’s | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crazy Mason | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt of Aurum | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American War Hero | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real Sensation | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Deposition | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Randazzo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stellwagen Banker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wootdareitis | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Ash | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Cod Summer | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Full | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Connecting | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Cowboy Bradley | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onehandsomedude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tapio | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.