Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Silver Ticket |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kara and Colleen |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mystic Sunrise |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cerchi |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Burnaway |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silver Ticket |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Digital Trade |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Okay Fine |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Arzag |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Charlie Lightning |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corporate Affair |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Steven |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tapit’s Direction |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wild Flight |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Command to Fire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Harlan’s Legacy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Downton Tabby |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Katz That Gal |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
What a Knockout |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bella Miura |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Velocissima |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
A Ring Thing |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Actress |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beach Ready |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Galipan |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Praiseworthy |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Coast Storm |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lighting Clouds |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jiggery Pokery |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tizafastbullet |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mauricio |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gone Nuts |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
No Deliberation |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eternal Flame |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Harry’s Onthebeach |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Midnight Getaway |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lost a Legend |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Montana Man |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smokin Cloud |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Lea Run |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Forty Flash |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Escape Room |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Sayely |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Madame Mischief |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alcohol |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
She Has Class |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Refugiada |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good Bright Flames |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cat One |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Trevess |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Towser |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anatomy |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Call Me Spicy |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Thelastbulletsmine |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gunesh |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Qualy |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Soy Una Dama (CHI) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Mistica Traviesa (CHI) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Ornela (CHI) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Win Dixie Ronnie |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Threatlevelmidnite (GB) |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amor Y Control |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
L. E. Gray |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sandpiper Memories |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Awesome Apeal |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Temerity |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Noy |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Noble Dreamer |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.