Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Wisecracker |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mama’s Middie |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Khadullah |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pandagate |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Arco Augusta |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Inonit |
4.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
In a Minute |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lamorna |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sale Leaseback (IRE) |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dorothy’s Dreams |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Twisted Romance |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Echo Lake |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Madam Leota |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Love Restrained |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Save Us Melania |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Reagan’s Flame |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classic Cara |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Troubled Luck |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jenas Mercy |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
15 |
15 |
Marco T. |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Wildcat Fire |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Golden Ghost (GB) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Z Train (IRE) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Collaboration |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Orange Freeze |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Rocket |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Waterville |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stella Mars |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Masterof the Tunes |
3.50 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweetest Princess |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Joking Way |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
6 |
Amani’s Eagle |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
On the Come Up |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
8 |
Tommy Gun |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
4 |
Moving Pictures |
4.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
7 |
Truebelieve |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Big Save |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1A |
5 |
Charger |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
10 |
Harry Hood |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Jarreau |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Thethrillofvictory |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
St. Joe Louis (GB) |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Lord Flintshire |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sonic Speed |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Miracle Mike |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Front Man |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Blame D Rule Maker |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
12 |
11 |
Zapruder |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
12 |
Blu Grotto |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
King Tsunami |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
14 |
Achilles Heel |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Kingfish Stevens |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Walley World |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anchises |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tom Collins |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Message of Hope (IRE) |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Walley World |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Prariedale |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Council |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Inherent Promise |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Admiral Nimitz (GB) |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Plate |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fred George (IRE) |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Game Misconduct |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don Vino Vici |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
British Sea |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Downing Street |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Otello |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
The Hero Code |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Aula |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vodka Mardini |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aula |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Screaming Uncle |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whenlovetakesover |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Growth Mindset |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
No Surrender |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Refuah |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lucency |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Rebel Red (GB) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Iron Works |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tonal Impact |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Costa Terra |
1.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Good Skate |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Constitutionlawyer |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mystic Night |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Cigarette Boat |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Alexis Zorba (GB) |
1.20 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
9 |
Ringside |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Foreign Influence |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Highland Lord |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Borletti (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Iron Man Jimmy |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tap Your Heart |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
5 |
Venge |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
War Stride |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Light the Way |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
13 |
Login Required |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Party With Smarty |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.