Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Beauty in Motion |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dusted |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beauty in Motion |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Exageradora |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don’t Annoy Me |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paul’s Tricky Tale |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ms Kays Cowgirl |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Peace Pact |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red River Susi |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Throwback |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Providing |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Throwback |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
G G’s Dark Star |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Angelic Gal |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Win Or Cellar |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saweetie Girl |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Comoda |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Tell Kelly |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Forever Hopeful |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Turbo Millie |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eastern Sunrise |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amorica |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Intolerant |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nosy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Just Plain Ornery |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ruthenian |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
He’s On Fire |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Street Lamp |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Papa Jimmy |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Honor My World |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lawlessness |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Starship Gotham |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Colora Kid |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tres Maria’s Dream |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Palacsinta |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Apple Lover |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hot Bottom Girl |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wine in the Dark |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Shaymyname |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bounty Killah |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sea Image |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Sis Nic |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Raven |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
14 |
14 |
April’s Gold |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Akiva |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hurry Up Dear |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Divine Promise |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Take a Hint |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Liberty Star |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Poppy |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swifty Devil |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Street Hustle |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Disco Devil |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Sagrada Ray |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Continental Divide |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bomboloni |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
April Fools Andy |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Phileas Fogg |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Admiral’s Wave |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Twist ‘n Twirl |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Furiously |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Positively Awesome |
20.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Louie |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Danny Boy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Mystery Mo |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Hashtag No Wonder |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Uncle Jake |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Caged Pixie |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Livin’ At the Bu |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Free Kitty |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wicked T |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nurse Rachett |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mikey’s Jewel |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Graphite Dutchess |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.