Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Side by Side |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Miss Monarch Bay |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Riley G |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sultry Kitten |
12.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Report |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lisa’s Nonno |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Always Smiling |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
98 |
Beautiful Bolt |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Con Seal and Kerry |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Devil Moon |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mister Beams |
12.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Castleknock |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sanger |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Duty First |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tickle My Fancy |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
98 |
Awesome Rhythm |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Storming Machine |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Chandelier S.) – Chandelier S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Chatalas |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dua |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gate to Paradise |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Autumn Chill |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pacific Rose |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Laurent |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Motet |
50.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scalable |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pink Whitney |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Next Right Thing |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Speakeasy S.) – Speakeasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dark Vintage (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Slider |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
April Vintage |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mysticism |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Charge for Gold |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lord Prancealot |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tranche |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Always On Cay |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bear River |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Des Doigts |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Petesoldfashioned |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stay On the Fence |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Red On Sunday |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stolen Treasure |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fact Or Fiction |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Halo Uncle |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jarama |
10.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magic Spoon |
6.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wicked Facts |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Lord Bullingdon |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sand Bagger |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rastaman Vibe |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gorilla Boy |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stay Hot |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tribal |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Guy Named Joe |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Grogu |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Coach Prime |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ringtone |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ready to Storm |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dealers Special |
30.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
4 |
4 |
Andreadytorumble |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Ngannou |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Book Smart |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Relaxed Artist (IRE) |
20.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sai Con (FR) |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Curly Esa |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Elevado |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Trusty Rusty |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Comradery (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chicknfingerfriday |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brazenly |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Egomania |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bag’s Gold |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
98 |
El Oro (FR) |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Rodeo Drive S.) – Rodeo Drive S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Didia (ARG) |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Turnerloose |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anisette (GB) |
2.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Neige Blanche (FR) |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Closing Remarks |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Symphony Perfect (IRE) |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Juncture (GB) |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stoic Luna |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (American Pharoah S.) – American Pharoah S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Muth |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Raging Torrent |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wine Me Up |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Be You |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Next Level |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rothschild |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
El Magnifico |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Indispensable |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Kissed by Fire |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alvina (FR) |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Lizzy |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Secrets Told |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Real Fire |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ragtime Rose |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hayley Levade |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Just Nails |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Gem Mine |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Teen Drama |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Nu Pi Lambda |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.