Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crown That Saint | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guanare | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twentyeighttothree | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rudy Rudy Rudy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Luke | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Badlands Ruler | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Dialed | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Eddie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gut Feeling | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior Richard | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrebato | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strapped | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mama’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Achilles Heel | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | South Street | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What’s Up Doc | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waya S.) – Waya S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | McKulick (GB) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parnac (FR) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Otoole | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Idea Generation (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Movie Moxy | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Personal Best | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Peak Popularity | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Romagna Mia (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.) – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stone Age (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Like Goddess | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Astronaut | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel’s Romance (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneering Spirit | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Sonata | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So High (GB) | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Frizette S.) – Frizette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Life Talk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emery | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Indy | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Maxima | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just F Y I | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Central Avenue | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Belmont Turf Sprint S.) – Belmont Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Today’s Flavor | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dancing Buck | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eamonn | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alogon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wit | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thin White Duke | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alexis S | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pirate Rick | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes and Yes | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nothing Better | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fauci | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Invasion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Obrigada | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apropos | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’mhavingamoment | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Chocolate | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Security Code | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cupids Girl | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Poppy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triple P | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Champagne S.) – Champagne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Timberlake | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Grande O | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fierceness | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Sweep | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Partner | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Soddy J | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Air Cav | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Groom | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.) – Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fearless Soldier | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lost Ark | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dataman | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anglophile | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Catch | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Faraday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Webslinger | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mondego (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Measured Time (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Maker’s Candy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frat Pack | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Ocean’s Reserve | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Full Moon Madness | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leddy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bad to the Bones | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Twelth Man | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cicciobello | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Skylander | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Capone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Shaky Pants | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cant Keep Me Down | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ghostly Girl | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Roman Goddess | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Russiarussiarussia | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bon Adieu | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontmesswithtess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miscreant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Diamond Status | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bernt Again | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Kristy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss San Gabriel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Thundara | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | From Hello | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.