Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Determined Blue |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Call the Question |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Amazing Mizzen |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sharmin |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Princess Street |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ask Amanda |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Very Sure |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pamz Palace |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tequila Tara |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Radiant Queen |
3.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
15 |
15 |
Robbery |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Tiz Vinno |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Shocking Facts |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Salty Girl |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Matching Energy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Outfactored |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Thunder Boss |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ellie Victorina |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Good Story |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fashionatta |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bali Hai |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aztec Bay |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Majesty’s Freedom |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lunar Dash |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lothario |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kasimba |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Surprise Hello |
20.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Rock With You |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Salute |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Code Name |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rector |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Big Enchilada |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Anaheim |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Here Comes Rusty |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mo Money Mo Betta |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Radar Alert |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Elon |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Fire and Knives |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Blame Catalaya |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mo Co Gold |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cocktail Dreaming |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mysisternancy |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Victorian Riviera |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
I Have Courage |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Antietam |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Voodoo Mama Juju |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Need a Marker |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Diva Ready |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Corinna |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Now Yus Cant Leave |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
On the Shortlist |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Clouds of White |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jackson’s Dixie |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Always Laughing |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Daily Planet |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Girls House |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
A Ring Thing |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Surya |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Genieinabridle |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Red Hot Chick |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
First to Arrive |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Don’t Listen |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Missy Boss |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flag Song Flyin |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Forever Mia |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valley Star |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Justify |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
To Be Loved by You |
2.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Princess Blame |
4.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Primed to Go |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Derbyness |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starlifter |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Money in Motion |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mucho Love |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Scenic Moon |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Foolin Mo |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Last Post |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Passioned |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Happy Jaunt |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Burroughs Cay |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Whatahardmanfidead |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
16 |
16 |
Mortal Sin |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Neat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
St James the Great |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Kinda Fonda Wanda |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
His Name Is Sue |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dialing Dixie |
10.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ima Pharoah |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Savoy |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mischievous Juan |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spitball |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mice and Men |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Free Square |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Zip Line to Heaven |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boss Man J J |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
John Hall |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kobe Tough |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sue Loves Barbados |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fun Notion |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tall Order |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Benny Havens |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
One Truth |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Calming Storm |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Royal Spy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Arden’sluckytobe |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Upsidedown Man |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Freestanding |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Federal Offense |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Practical Sense |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Austin From Boston |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
General Nooz |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Long Live Now |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eagle in Love |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sway’sinmydna |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
California Ghost |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.