Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Best Performer |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Colette’s Joy |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lady Emily Kathryn |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spartan Queen |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Excellent Question |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Milan Mischief |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
14 |
14 |
Toffee |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blue Topaz |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapitara |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Queen Rhaenyra |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hamo |
12.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lipochrome |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hurry Up Hannah |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Lady Claypoole (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tribest (ARG) |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Overindulgence |
1.60 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beautiful Mandate |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jayla |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Analyzed |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Midnight Waltz |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
J T’s Imagination |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Taysom |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quebrancho |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Liquor Talk |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Brother Charlie |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer in Aiken |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quantum |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Rachman |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Catching Freedom |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crusading |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Burgundy Royale |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tis Charming |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cash Only |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Planet |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speedtail |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Penrod |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
High Enough |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Raguel |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Icy Stare Down |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forever Home |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Charge Account |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
April’s No Fool |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Everyotherwon |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beach Kitten |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Tourista |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Docs Seven |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Priddis |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Sunday Grace |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Rum Runner Ready |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Empire of My Own |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shoppingforpharoah |
12.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hurricane Debbie |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magniloquent |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hideki |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sweet Alyssa |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moon Magic Chrissy |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Devine Charger |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strawberrylemonade |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Searcy |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hey Joe Joe |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mo’ Spresso |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stronghold |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Track Phantom |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Resilience |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quiet Rush |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cowboy Code |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
One Red Cent |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marcus Gift |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Blown Cover |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Enchanted Nile |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
A Lot of Spunk |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tap Dance Fever |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Megan’s Clara |
1.80 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fashion Rage |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Royal Blood |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Heartbreaker |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shooters Shoot |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Greener Pastures |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trafalgar |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wind of Change (BRZ) |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Breslau |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stormy Pattern |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Texas Red Hot |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
R Rose’ All Day |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Autism Community |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lavish Habits |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tituba |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Loved Reiko |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Faccia Bella |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Robin Sage |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
J M Vela |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Modern Love |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dame Joviale |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Viva La Red |
15.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Whenthedawnbreaks |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Single Her |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.