Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Terrace Hill S.) – Terrace Hill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lil Pete El Soruyo | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Lil Pete El Soruyo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kornfusion | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ts Perry Kool | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Famous Coronado | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jessita | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gracies Tuition | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Lippy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jesstrong Corona | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Polk County Derby) – Polk County Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lil Racy Blu | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Cartel | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Racing the Rails | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ec Wagon | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dashin Davey Crocket | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joda Tempting Jet | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weedy Set Go | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jesstrong Corona | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Perrysfirstmoonflash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dc Fusion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Future Of Iowa S.) – Future Of Iowa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sfs Alice Strikes | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy and Corona | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kays Dynasty | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vals Sizzling Lips | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trs Amazing Gracie | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ts Lil Cash | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Famous Jeanscarnitas | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rmlilkoolprincess | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Badrapidfastcat | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Going Gaga | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rcs Wagons Queen | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Jessita | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ts Eat Dust | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Futurity) – Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Cowgirl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Five Bar Phi | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cowboy 123 | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kool Lil Wink | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go to the Wood | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queens Grace | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summerhill Express | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ab Boogie | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic King Feet | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ts Buy Me a Corona | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ruling the Roost | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madethedean’slist | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | County Jail | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap On By | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Climb to Glory | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iowa Farmgirl | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin Boots | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Make Me | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Snerdly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nice One Julio | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stroller Boy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleetwood Smack | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Razor Wire | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capala | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicklow Laddie | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Markson | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gunpowder n’ Lead | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Dan Johnson Sprint S.) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Last Chance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mollies Rocket | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jaysker | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redneckerthanyou | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Late for Lunch | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Blarney | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Posse | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Iowa Cradle S.) – Iowa Cradle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nave | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom to Speed | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Specialsortastorm | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dawson’s Storm | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee Off Time | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surprise Road Trip | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glengarry | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Iowa Breeders’ Oaks) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fit and Famous | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dial Sum In | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Happiness | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lavender Lil | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Sincere | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hop Away Hottie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Iowa Sorority S.) – Iowa Sorority S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Won Happy Mama | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shezawildstorm | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sorcerer’s Girl | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inca Stroll | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautifly Troubl’d | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamin It Up | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C’Mon Lucky | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jaydensqueenoharts | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gisele’s Map | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cel’s Star | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Governor Terry E. Branstad S.) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time Goes On | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Wally Wally | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finish Up | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minecraft Maniac | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart N Intuitive | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Alex’sband | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Wednesday | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Pines Sandy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Iowa Breeders’ Derby) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildatlanticstorm | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Wildatlanticstorm | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warren L | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C R Insta Gator | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palace Guard | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin the Dad Bod | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Succession | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lawless John | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stumpy’s Love Song | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Donna Reed S.) – Donna Reed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Angel’s Melody | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Stormin | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Interstella | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kayla | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Peach | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Like Trista | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Olive Oyl | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rainbow Dash | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bayleywick | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kela’s Turn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dot Com Dreamin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Annual Budget | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freddy J | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leapin Ty Man | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Eli | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gold Tapper | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sangria Sky | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet of Hoof | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weller Rogue | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Singh | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Native Hellraiser | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.