Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Party Is Over |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Crystal |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royal Seamstress |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cushee |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Run Around Slew |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Too Many Kisses |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flitter |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Whatsyourbigidea |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Pounding Music |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Kit Can Run |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
15 |
15 |
Misquillo |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mary Jane Chrome |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Heartburn |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Please Marry Me |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
14 |
14 |
Hot Choice |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Missawlet |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Water Witch |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Twelveo’clockrock |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Red Wine Time |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Daisy Bee |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Gogo Chanel |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Maria’s Honor |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
One Las Olas |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Goldieness |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Silent Malice |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Passage of Lines |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dolice Vita |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shady Munni |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Act |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bob Marco |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Plot the Dots |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Romp |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Nami |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Queen Rocket |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Imaginetheodds |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Catch the Kitten |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Apple Shake Shake |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bessie Blue |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Marley’s Ghost |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Time Goes Fast |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Virologist |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Happyinitiative |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
15 |
15 |
Keep It Sweet |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Graceful Union |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Vana Bright |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Abby’s Lucky Girl |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Connie’s Dance |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Liquidator |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer Odds |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Northern Glow |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Deeds of Love |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nineteenamendment |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bella Bettina |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Lookin Royal |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Josie Wales |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Peace Out |
50.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Selima S.) – Selima S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Yatta |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Low Mileage |
12.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Carmelina |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brocknardini |
2.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hekate |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Positive Carry (IRE) |
3.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Determined Sail |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kissedbyanangel |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flowers for Me |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gorgeous Girl |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sir Alfred James |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Classier |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Alfred James |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Holy Synchronicity |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Cents |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr Phil |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Business Model |
2.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wendell Fong |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Eastern Bay |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ain’t Da Beer Cold |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Japan Turf Cup S.) – Japan Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Eons |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bear Oak |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yamato |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Will E Sutton |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Serifos |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Regal Kingdom |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
It Can Be Done |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oceans Map |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tiz a Giant |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Happy Giant |
50.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tappin Cat |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Zabracadabra |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Derby Code |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Ajourneytofreedom |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Magic Michael |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Twixt S.) – Twixt S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Malibu Beauty |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Interstatedaydream |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Malibu Beauty |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss New York |
12.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hybrid Eclipse |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Battle Bling |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Batucada |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Freccia d’Argento |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Six the Hard Way |
50.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Champagne Toast |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Laurel Futurity) – Laurel Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Air Recruit |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wine Collector |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Massif |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Creek |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tropandhagen |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Skellig Island |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dancing Mischief |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sasse’s Class |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Understudy Kitty |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
15 |
15 |
Mortal Sin |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
16 |
16 |
Elevated Game |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Grand Kingdom |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thedingoateyobaby |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Edgartown |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Bolt of Aurum |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Blame the Tux |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Energy Efficient |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Margie’s Fun Son |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Money Room |
12.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catching Stars |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Infinite Series |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Midnight Mine |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lord of Mischief |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
John Jay |
4.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
By Hand |
2.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.