Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Fed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Treasury | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Larry | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boise | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shortlist | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Rags | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What a Country | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Honorable One | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pillbox | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkle of Hope | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Motown Mika | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magna Massa | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harmonica | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Terranova | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dear Lady | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tepeu | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tres Soles | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nullarbor | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Nash | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coastal Defense | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take the Charge | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uninvited Guest | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Act | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | G T Five Hundred | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Value Engineer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Missile | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legal Titan | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woodcourt | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ham Sandwich | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Sparks | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Save the King | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dumbstruck | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Steeler Mischief | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Process | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lady Moscato | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calle Reina | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Favorite Girl | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pursuit of Liberty | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Cat | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thorny | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noriskit Nobiscuit | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speak Up | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starina | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bump in the Night | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Murphy’s Gift | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pretty Girls Union | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carnivore | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impulsiveness | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Single Ruler | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bucktown | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love Spell | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fightertown | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Cookie | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timely Prospect | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Your So Sillea | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Altered Shot | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leeloo | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kantex | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock Star Parking | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mercy Warren | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Kentucky Girl | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Four Dawn | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fast and Feminine | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Megan’s Clara | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Slack Tide | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jefferson Cup S.) – Jefferson Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Noises Off | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | More Than Looks | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Worthington | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Pointe | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gaslight Dancer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokey Mandate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiverton (GB) | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight West | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean Vision (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Duke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Endpoint | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ack Ack S.) – Ack Ack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zozos | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O Besos | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skyro | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stage Raider | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Technique | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caddo River | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Night | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Lukas Classic S.) – Lukas Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rattle N Roll | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Americanrevolution | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clapton | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy American | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trademark | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Five Star General | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whelen Springs | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Devil | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hogslayers R I P | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brigade Commander | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Athens Moon | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orbi One | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Salute | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Missionaire | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Now That Ican Rock | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Metallurgic | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Sandrin | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elegant Trip | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Given to Fly (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Absolutely Certain | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Auden | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Provisional | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | We Will Conquer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Pilkington | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.