Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Alette d’Oro |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bells Tolling |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Learning to Fly |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Calling an Audible |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Mia Nipotina |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dusk |
2.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Snarky |
5.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Valentine Gift |
10.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
15 |
15 |
Cara’s Girl |
10.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
10 |
10 |
City Blocks |
6.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
9 |
9 |
Handle On You |
10.00 |
13.5 |
25-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lu’s Redemption |
8.00 |
13.5 |
25-1 |
16 |
16 |
Call Her Bluff |
2.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
14 |
14 |
Lil’ Hayadoin |
6.00 |
14.5 |
27-1 |
12 |
12 |
Realta |
15.00 |
15.2 |
29-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baroness Bourbon |
15.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Skip the Line |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
States United |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Livehappy |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gum Island |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maximillions Dream |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Electric Eel |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sea Streak |
2.50 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
6 |
6 |
Change of Command |
3.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thunderslam |
30.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wajda |
8.00 |
11.9 |
23-1 |
10 |
10 |
Reasoned Analysis |
8.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
13 |
13 |
Trailing Monster |
10.00 |
12.7 |
24-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rathmore |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Vosburgh S.) – Vosburgh S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Great Navigator |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cody’s Wish |
0.20 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
High Oak |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Accretive |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sheriff Bianco |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cowan |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Full Screen |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Antigravity |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bourbon Calling |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
8 |
Guntown |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
7 |
Swiftsure |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1A |
6 |
Bold Endeavor |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Outlier |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
2 |
Cazadero |
2.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Gallant Bloom S.) – Gallant Bloom S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Headland |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caramel Swirl |
1.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Undervalued Asset |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beguine |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Remain Anonymous |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sterling Silver |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.) – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Stone Age (IRE) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adhamo (IRE) |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Soldier Rising (GB) |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
War Like Goddess |
2.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grand Sonata |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rebel’s Romance (IRE) |
1.80 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pioneering Spirit |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Astronaut |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
So High (GB) |
50.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Woodward S.) – Woodward S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Charge It |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
O’Connor (CHI) |
8.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tyson |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zandon |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Film Star |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pipeline |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Un Ojo |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Costa Terra |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Algiers (IRE) |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Law Professor |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Rocket and Roll |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Henson |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Two for Charging |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be the Boss |
2.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Always Charming |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Callaloo |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Locke and Key |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quick to Accuse |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rally Squirrel |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Housefly (IRE) |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sensing Flatter |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Magic Eight Ball |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Day Away |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
15 |
15 |
Maturity Date |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dancing Dean |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Not Tonight Joe |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Cara |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
16 |
16 |
Paradise Lane |
2.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vino Rouge |
4.50 |
12 |
23-1 |
10 |
10 |
Channel Loop |
12.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
2 |
2 |
Steel Lute |
2.50 |
13 |
25-1 |
14 |
14 |
Villi Olento |
20.00 |
15 |
28-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spendalot |
3.50 |
15.6 |
30-1 |
11 |
11 |
Scandalous |
8.00 |
15.7 |
30-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lucevan La Stelle |
20.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Crimson Princess |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Autumn Glory |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
From Hello |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweetness |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stella Mars |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Disruption |
10.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
16 |
16 |
Dashing Della |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Smokie Eyes |
2.50 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sweetest Princess |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dream Road |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
5 |
5 |
Can’t Fool Me |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sail With the Wind |
8.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
7 |
7 |
Russiarussiarussia |
15.00 |
12.7 |
24-1 |
14 |
14 |
Snowy Evening |
4.50 |
13.4 |
25-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Jasmine |
10.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
10 |
10 |
Saratoga Kisses |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
11 |
Sol Emperatriz |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alley’s Song |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dancing Liana |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Necessaryandproper |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Song of Solomini |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
5 |
4 |
Poseidon’s Mist |
4.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
5 |
Miss Omaha |
8.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mastery’s Secret |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
1 |
6 |
Bank On Belle |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Perfectly Mperfect |
6.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
1A |
10 |
Wise Conversation |
8.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.