Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kozem |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Athletic |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Girvin’s Princess |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Survival Rose |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Castellana |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whats Up Buttercup |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jazzin |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Field of Blossoms |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Little Juanito |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ubiquitous |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Never Satisfied |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Allegedly Perfect |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Earth |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Abe Honestly |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
No Problem Joe |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kingy |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cajun Asp |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Downey’s Way |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Skylane |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Adiamond Isforever |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bianca Luna |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Full Nelson |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sanpirodu |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Praiseworthy |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red Abarrio |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Go Go Santi |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adios Now |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Grandma’s Pudding |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nothing But Pumps |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Confer |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wicklow Gal |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
R Awesome Sauce |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kilkenny Bella |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gratia |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Commandant |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sterling Harmony |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bella Future |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Exchange Day |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dropkick Murphy |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Startonahighnote |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Infamous Nono |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Crusader |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lights of Broadway |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swashbuckle |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Surrogate |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
A Rose for Raven |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Bucksalot |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Denying |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncle Armando |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Big Envelope (IRE) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncaptured Tiger |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Etretat |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Doc Ballard |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Antillean |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Travel Guide |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Granted Success |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Commander Biz |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Good Bump |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lazzarone |
3.50 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.