Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Streetcorner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hopesndreams | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miti Fast Flower | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trendy | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midcentury Modern | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belly Dance | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Race Day | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cha Cha Chukka | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle’s Blue Bell | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Cheeks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carroll Girl | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hashtag Lucky | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Devil | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anonymously | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Haunted Room | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Gundin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gamestonks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Desi’s Reward | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catalena | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suzy Q the Queen | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Step | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merger of Equals | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dune Jumper | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Earley Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prussian Blue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Assert Dominance | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruthenian | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Jimmy | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Lamp | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Im Your Papi | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodontknow | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Boldacious | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lawlessness | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Gotham | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gabbys Big Notion | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Bearrish One | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Strikes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Intrepid Daydream | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Lute | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Late Frost | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Tosca | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tappin Josie | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bound by Destiny | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juror Number Four | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Beauty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gunfyre Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Parkerness | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Onboard | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Affable Monarch | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rhumjar | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Constitution | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Quint | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caughtandcollected | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rich’s Way | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Going to the Lead | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zabracadabra | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tappin Cat | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Sabe Nada | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Too | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Picture This | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Poppy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | April Fools Andy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rebel Empire | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Candy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Citi Creek | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Colora Kid | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Take a Hint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Gin Gin | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Push | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Throwback | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honeycamp | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Spun | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Win Or Cellar | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sundog | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmydabook | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emilia’s Legacy (PER) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.