Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom Come | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nikitis | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Mischief | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caitlinhergrtness | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Helcia | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backstretch Rose | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Miss | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Indra | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bowl of Cherries | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Domina | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timed Out | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Reply | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diva Banker | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Karen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quality Chic | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Springs | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whenlovetakesover | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jamestown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Conversing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Rhyme | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scat Tu Tap | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Right to Win (IRE) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Red (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abadin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Set Sail | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sundaeswithsandy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Register | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Certified Loverboy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luni Sima | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fromanothamutha | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Stolen Magic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moonlight | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Night | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skyler’s Artemis | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Malarchuk | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marceau | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quokka | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Live to Ride (GB) | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit Prince | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tom Collins | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Falfurrias | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | All About Tonite | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zverev | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Inherent Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mayor Jack | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Buffoon (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Highly Flammable | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 13 | Digitize | 0.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Famous Gent | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | Pine Valley | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 12 | Twelth Man | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Octopus | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loyal Louie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 9 | Vocalize | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Acoustic Ave | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Son of a Birch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Notah | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 7 | Listentothemusic | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 10 | Monet Never (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Book of Wisdom | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast and Frisky | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Landed | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Granadilla | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ekwanok | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dame Catherine | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tsukimi | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holder Close | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enfuega | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tavin | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon’s Hope | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joker Boy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ensign Parker | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Speed | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gandy Dancing | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Drive | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Early | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cousin Andrew | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister J T | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dee Bo | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Feathers Road | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Zeebear | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disarmed | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Win for Gold | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maxwell Esquire | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Runningwscissors | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winners Laugh | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Foolish Ghost | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bar Fourteen | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bronx Bomber | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Me ‘n Sap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Noble Emotion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Phantom Smoke | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | King Moonracer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yarrow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Battle Scars | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Strapped | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bolt d’Plata | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Elusive Drwong | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | American Day | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Timo | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magiadoro | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Congruente (ARG) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Prince of Troy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Collect From Ike | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Elevated Causeway | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Favorite Topic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Waflr | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Assertive Attitude | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sixwillberich | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Variable Cost (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.