Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Born Flawless | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Vale | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Smitty Run | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt Above | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harleezy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lazarus | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Born Flawless | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Ninety Five | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jubilant Joanie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Markswoman | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Beth Dutton | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Temple | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Daisy Jones | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Areuhavingfunyet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isabel de Clare | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Speaker | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Haven | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Requestforproposal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Witch of November | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Proud Performer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Alter the Stars | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Commander Carl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yak | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Improbable Story | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breadman | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keen On You | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Job Security | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code Runner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | To Kalon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mad Adam | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cry If I Want To | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isa Lei | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grace and Freedom | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Guitar | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | High Sisu | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Missy Bee | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensible Choice | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready for Trouble | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anna’s Wish | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Desperate Times | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Walk On By | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Save the Moment | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Skindy Dipper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | On a Spree | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moment | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Randello | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Streak | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mine Own Star | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nordic Light | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Moon | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nepal Up | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Santa Cruiser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mia Marcela | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anna After Midnite | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silver Rose | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Squall | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Mischief | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yes to Champagne | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawn’s Creed | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Renfrew | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | How Soon Is Now | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Idalou | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Twirling Good Time | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willowy | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ella Elizabeth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tanya Showers | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Money Supply | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Elmo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watasha | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lupo’s Legacy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Order of Magnitude | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Glen Airy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tilted Towers | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Excess Magic | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Of the Moment | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Xy Speed | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodasiwonswas | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Counterstrike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Point Me By | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Evan Sing | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Broken Rib | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sky and Sand | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When I Look At You | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Tempting Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honorable Mischief | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | When I Look At You | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Krickle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Sun Dress | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kentuckyterminator | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Standoutsensation | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sarah’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shezthefactor | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheyenne Moon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Princess | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Lexi | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Silvery Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bright Lady Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trouble With Sugar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.