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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Big Rowdy Dan 0 0-1
5 5 Saloon 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Grand Escape 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Morethanreadyeddie 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Big Rowdy Dan 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Superstitieux 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 My Mamba 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rascally Rebel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vax a Nation 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Succeed 1.60 2.7 5-1
8 8 King Swansboro 20.00 5.4 10-1
13 13 Toro Forward 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Stormy Fire 30.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Bold Licorice 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 General’s Duty 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Reel Well 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 King Silvio 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Call Me Vivian 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Master of None 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wicked Secret 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Into It 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Low Society 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Cloudy Night 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Eric Brown’s Girl 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Neolithica 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Irish Angel 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Any Fools Gold 12.00 5 10-1
7 7 Buzzaway 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Amirati 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Awesome Glo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Eldest Son 4.00 1 2-1
1A 5 Bode’s Maker 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 It’s Viper 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 7 Gilded Age 1.80 3.7 7-1
10 11 Flat Out Flying 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 9 Irish Boolum 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 10 Tom Hagen 15.00 SCRATCH
12 13 No One to Blame 3.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Marched 30.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Wish Me Home 3.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Wow Whata Summer 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Swan Lake 10.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Microphone (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Brasstown 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hard Sting 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hot N Spicy Love 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bahama Channel 2.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Wicked Mad 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Ekati’s Verve 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Look Out Lambo 30.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Northern Thunder 30.00 9 17-1
8 8 Virginia Fulla 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 American Unity 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hunter Joe 20.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Sociallongdistance 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 One Ten 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Cannon’s Roar 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Megacity 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Uncle Curly 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Flying Scotsman 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Graded On a Curve 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Original 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Dear Santa 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 His Name Is Sue 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Cryo 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Mocephus 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Lohengrin Two 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Savoy 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Ace Nine Nine 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Royal Spy 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Inside Stunt 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Johnyz From Albany 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ship the Goods 10.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Crispy Cat (GB) 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Whenigettoheaven 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Commanding General 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Boat’s a Rockin 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 So Street 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 S. Muffin 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mamba On Three 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Destin’s Mission 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Honeyquist 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Chuck Willis (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dance for Green 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Catahoula Moon 15.00 1.3 3-1
10 11 Always a Warrior 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Boy Magic 1.00 2.9 6-1
1A 10 Street Tough 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 His Rights 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Chat Blanc 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 3 Force of Justice 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Cap Com 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Frosty the Giant 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Point Pelee 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Nice Baby 1.40 1 2-1
12 12 Forgotten Gift 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Golden Charm 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Visual Illusion 15.00 3.1 6-1
13 13 Punkin 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Passionforquality 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Vienna’s Twirl 30.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Lenamagnetta 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Dancinonthebeach 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 In Her Cups 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Midnight in Prague 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Abstract Moment 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Divine Romance 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Blue Hour 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Always Forward 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Spun in a Million 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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