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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Revolving Credit 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Paris Style (FR) 4.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Vivid Dreams 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Duke Girls 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Rayya Valentine 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Magical Song 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Joseph A. Gimma S.) – Joseph A. Gimma S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Caldwell Luvs Gold 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 My Mane Squeeze 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 My Shea D Lady 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Nicky Jolene 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cara’s Time 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
North End Lady 0 0-1
11 11 Foxy Cara 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Nolita 0.80 2 4-1
5 5 North End Lady 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 She’s a Natural 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sainte Chapelle 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Shine My Tiara 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Arisaema 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Laoban 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Krystalheir 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Starts Now 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Splashy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bustin Bay 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Tempermental 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dufresne 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 April Antics 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ok Honey 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Freddymo Factor 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Weekend Rags 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Solib 6.00 1.3 2-1
16 16 Majestic Return 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Monroe 12.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Sikum 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Sandy’s Garden 15.00 4.3 8-1
15 15 Carbon 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Robyn and Eli 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Jackson Avenue 50.00 10.9 21-1
12 12 U Should B Dancing 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Royal Dancer 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bustin Bullet 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Spooky Lady 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Three Girls 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fancypants Juliana 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Maddie’s Grace 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Danseur d’Oro 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Vax 4.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Dreamawayseven 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Willful Desire 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Shasi 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Luna Loca 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Perfect Senorita 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Howzyourcashflow 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bank Frenzy 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Jackson Heights 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Amedeus Music 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Here’s Waldo 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Uncle Marty 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Boys Code 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Supreme Being 12.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Ach Du Lieber 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bertram F. Bongard S.) – Bertram F. Bongard S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 El Grande O 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Aggelos the Great 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Skyler’s Starship 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Detective Tom 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Bonne Chance 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ranger Blue 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Trust Fund 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Spun and Won 0 0-1
11 13 H P Moon 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Legends Can’t Die 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 8 Lucky Curlin 15.00 7.8 15-1
12 14 My Harbors Dream 4.00 10.5 20-1
13 15 Emerald Forest 15.00 10.5 20-1
14 16 Spun and Won 3.50 10.8 20-1
2B 5 Oxymore 4.50 SCRATCH
7 9 Vacation Dance 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fluid Situation 10.00 SCRATCH
10 12 Chewing Gum 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Senbei 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Detroit City 15.00 SCRATCH
5 7 Fauci 4.00 SCRATCH
9 11 Comedy Town 15.00 SCRATCH
8 10 Artemus Citylimits 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Run Curtis Run 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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