Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Aaralyn | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moshine | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ba Dee Yah | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pace’s Two Sense | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Without Cause | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buchu | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Weighted Average | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luz Divina | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dash of Lemon | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Fashion Kate | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | She Is Invincible (GB) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit in the Mist (FR) | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | I’m a Mess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stephanieswarrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Crystal Symphony | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Yammy Yammy Bella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Take Charge Babe | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Mimi | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bikini Bottom | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wampus Kitten | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady of Devon | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quimichis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Art Queen | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Big Banshee | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Babe | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Corkage Fee | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backwoods Barbie | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | B Sudd | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Route Runner | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Escapologist | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weslan | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jr’s Gift | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Spark | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quaternion | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Princess Says | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Jo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evie’s Encore | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sha Girl | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weather Map | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Going to Town | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soulful Tara | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Free Will | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | English Charm | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Furious Anger | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shortstop | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Ain’t Poppn | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Upstart | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ben Franklin | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bearings | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boptrot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sahalat | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Not So Holy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Britain’s Kitten | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Gray’s Fable | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vintage Print | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Campaign | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Birds | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cellist | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Britain’s Kitten | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accredit | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Ready | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Droppin G’s | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Native Thunder | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pine Knoll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Search Engine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Warrior Johny | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Bourbon Trail S.) – Bourbon Trail S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Manciata d’Oro | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Data | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oscar Eclipse | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slip Mahoney | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shirl’s Bee | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Denington | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lincoln Highway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Harrods Creek S.) – Harrods Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Everso Mischievous | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mount Up | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loyal Company | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bouncer | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Determinedly | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Bash | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Praetorian Guard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Seneca Overnight S.) – Seneca Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Poblano | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Xigera | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taxed | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Calling | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fun and Feisty | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sabra Tuff | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nomadic Pride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Dogwood S.) – Dogwood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yesternight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twice as Sweet | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B G Warrior | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Radler | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Metaphysical | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Norah G | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Santa Fe Gold | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alexa Lou | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flamand | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shoplifter | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bru Na Boinne | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forever After All | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Let’s Duet | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amber Cascade | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Her Ladyship | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Again | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dawny | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lexa | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chiquita Mosca | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Cotton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Grand Entrance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.