Site icon Sports from the Basement

Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Citizen Mack 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Duke of Gloucester 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Berlone 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Calibrachoamatters 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Little Skippy 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Motivo 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Louie’s Heat 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 7 Acoustic Ave 2.00 1 2-1
2 1 City Fever 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 5 Famous Gent 6.00 2.9 6-1
10 12 Twelth Man 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Highly Flammable 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 10 Loyal Louie 10.00 5.4 10-1
11 13 Digitize 0.60 5.5 10-1
3 2 Monet Never (IRE) 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 11 Octopus 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Vocalize 12.00 7.8 15-1
1X 9 Notah 2.00 7.9 15-1
1A 8 Listentothemusic 2.00 8.6 16-1
5 4 Pine Valley 50.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jerry the Nipper 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 City Man 1.40 1.4 3-1
1 1 Somelikeithotbrown 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Spirit of St Louis 1.60 2 4-1
9 9 Dr Ardito 1.60 3.6 7-1
5 5 Born Dancer 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Un Ojo 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Drake’s Passage 2.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Barrage 12.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Colloquy 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Kingdom On Paws 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Suspended Campaign 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Linny Kate 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Its Cold in Dehere 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Alpine Queen 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Wait a Minute 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Trade Secret 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Game Theory 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Vallarand 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Eighty Five 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Winwood 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Taporical 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Retail Man 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 One Witheverything 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mad Banker 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Seba M 5.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Morq 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Miss Omaha 8.00 1 2-1
1 5 Wise Conversation 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Perfectly Mperfect 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 11 Princess Becca 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Alley’s Song 5.00 5 9-1
8 9 Mastery’s Secret 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 8 Sol Emperatriz 3.50 7.2 14-1
6 7 Necessaryandproper 10.00 8.7 16-1
1A 6 Bank On Belle 6.00 9.2 17-1
9 10 Cara’s Girl 8.00 10.8 20-1
5 4 Song of Solomini 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Noble Damsel S.) – Noble Damsel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fluffy Socks 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Gina Romantica 1.20 1.1 2-1
3 3 Not So Close 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Malavath (IRE) 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Gerrymander 1.80 2.9 5-1
9 9 Venti Valentine 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Sunset Louise 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Battle Bling 10.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Movie Moxy 2.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Runaway Rumour 10.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Balpool 8.00 11.3 21-1
12 12 Bustin Bay 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ortus 2.00 1 2-1
15 15 Newport Bridge 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Forward Move 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Empire Sky 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Majestic Johnson 12.00 4.2 8-1
16 16 Ten Cent Town 4.00 5 9-1
3 3 Image of Quality 10.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Dreampoint 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Buckortwo 15.00 10.4 20-1
14 14 Always Charming 2.00 10.4 20-1
13 13 Kreesa 6.00 10.5 20-1
9 9 Courageoous Oh La 10.00 10.6 20-1
8 8 War Terminator 15.00 12.8 24-1
12 12 Volkert 10.00 12.9 24-1
11 11 The Cobbler 30.00 15.2 29-1
5 5 War Smoke 6.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Abadin 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sundaeswithsandy 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Set Sail 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Luni Sima 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Fenwick 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Fromanothamutha 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Register 4.50 6.9 13-1
7 7 Certified Loverboy 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Book of Wisdom 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ekwanok 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Fast and Frisky 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Granadilla 5.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Holder Close 30.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Enfuega 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Dame Catherine 15.00 8 15-1
9 9 Landed 4.00 9 17-1
6 6 Tavin 8.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 Tsukimi 20.00 10.9 21-1
5 5 La Indecente 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version