Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Own the Field | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Option | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gucci Boy | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gilded Craken | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Fever | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Commander | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Moves | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lots of Mischief | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bluff City | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secession | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timetomakemischief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Kentucky | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solidify | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soaring Bird | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Spirit | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Socks | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hemp Heaven | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Almanzo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stonevicious | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camp Daddy | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run Run Rapidash | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roman Giant | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Schmoozin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Aspen Club | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Cool Dude | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flotation Station | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chryso Alogo | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rivetage | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | This Time Blue | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runnin Munnin | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midcat | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Querreque | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quencio | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Burgundy Royale | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Birchton | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | High Enough | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Informed Patriot | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Informed Patriot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muazarah | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Masmak | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lat Long | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Gun Rocket | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Buck | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gould’s Gold | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warheaded | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blue Line | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ice Orchid | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chop Chop | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skratch Kat | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Selina Kyle (PER) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jag Warrior | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Music Street | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Otto the Conqueror | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormin Love | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time Song | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dragoon Guard | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon’s Fault | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nuevo Empire | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet as Sin | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J Bird Time | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Title Contender | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Military Cruiser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Easy Action | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bohemian Bo | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gilcrease | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tim Tal | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Track Mate | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Me | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Favorite Outlaw | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mullikin | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stud Lovin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | B D Valeski | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hideki | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All I Want Is You | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Bobby’s | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arabian Prince | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overbore | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kigali | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer in Malibu | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pat’schromecompass | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Methodology | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Maha | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Acclaim | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Musical Mischief | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Charger | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Macho Chick | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leaflet | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misintention | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perceptive | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nocturne Court | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.