Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sword of Gold | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp as Damascus | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smackzilla | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Vision | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Country Caper | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promise Code | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sonic Posse | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abes Day | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pumped Up Kicks | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Blastoff | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Invariably | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money Express | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | C C’s Legacy | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Jim | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | West Jet | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sazon | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking the Bank | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Witt America | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smarty Ridge | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magna Punch | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Necessity | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Plenty of Gold | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Long Legs | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Creek | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Okie Attitude | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Jordan | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Fabulous | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gospel B. Havior | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiny Fortune | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swingin’ Okie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Talkative | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 5 | 5 | Elena Mae | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | Last Penalty | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | 
| 1 | 1 | Sky Echo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Single Saturday | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | 
| 8 | 8 | Magical Gold | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | Youneedtocalmdown | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | 
| 6 | 6 | Salt Creek Gal | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | 
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Dirt Rich | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | Den’s Dynasty | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | 
| 11 | 11 | A Lot of Heat | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | 
| 9 | 9 | Bobwhite Bobby | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | 
| 8 | 8 | Our Moon Pie | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Holcombe | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | 
| 4 | 4 | Baja Boogie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | 
| 10 | 10 | Missing Code | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | Ratliff City | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | 
| 5 | 5 | Uriah | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | 
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Brody | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | 
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tulsan | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Earl | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doc’s Bolero | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Than Easy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Adopter | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Long Cool | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kenny T | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Blue | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Beaute | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Budds Brown | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brady Bo Banna | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Hoax | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Get Serious | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Basket Case | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outlining | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Express | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highway Sixty One | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Downtown Abby | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chillaxification | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rollin Blackout | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Courtney Fay | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Melly | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Got Moves | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Our Davina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nice Neighbor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | Da Candy Cane | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | 
| 10 | 10 | Our Bet | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | 
| 5 | 5 | Maggie d’Cause | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Dish | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | 
| 9 | 9 | Stolen Kisses | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | 
| 1 | 1 | When Judy Calls | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | 
| 8 | 8 | Because | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | 
| 4 | 4 | Sigicricket | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Catale Winemixer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | 
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
