Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perliano | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Joke | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Officer Derick | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mama’s Dream | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fratellino | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lao Way | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wonder Wonderland | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Sheriff Bianco | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Best Actor | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Baby Yoda | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Kinetic Sky | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Uncle Moonlight | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Business Model | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Night | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cut the Cord | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin At Roses | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Portos | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Mark | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Quality | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Datesfreedom | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winfromwithin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kuramata (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Hazzard (FR) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tut’s Revenge | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cazadero | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Call Me Harry | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Main Event | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Mid Day Image | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen of the Mud (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Material Witness | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oolong Hai (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nyxed | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Millie Jean | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fancy Stax | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madaket’s Arrow | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of the Mud (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Catskill Humor | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Isola (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seawitch | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You Only Live Once | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Mo | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rocco Strong | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Two Thirty Five | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Just Call Ray | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Six Percent | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Friends Beer | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Invisible War | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 12 | Life and Light | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burgee | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Cat | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Forty Two Ace | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Durkin’s Call | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Salto de Tigre | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Exact Estimate | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daunt | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tide of the Sea | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Skate | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Francesco Clemente (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Trail | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ronstadt | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alternate Reality | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Giant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Engine | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mariachi | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Munnings | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brew Pub | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zeebear | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radio Red | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’ont Lose Cruz | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Horn of Plenty | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Return | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Screw Loose | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Study | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Atlanta’s Acuna | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zapruder | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Impazible Prince | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Myles | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Lister | 50.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thatsmyboxer | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Jim | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somama Beach | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Utamaro | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Outcome | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Aula | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Academy Choice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hari | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Just for Luck | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.