Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Like a Saltshaker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Profile | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Gigi | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Junior Bug | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Santa Cruiser | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spend Benjamins | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Del Rayo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patch O’Brien | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yuletide Gallop | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runlikecarl | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Connected | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Rush Is On | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Master Switch | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Richiesderbystrike | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mor Jazz | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack Is Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mirabella | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catmint | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Treasure | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laserjet | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Lilibet | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stage Bell | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kick a Rhyme (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Topaz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Invaluable | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My My Munny | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Choctaw Bingo | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mirth ‘n Merriment | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Tourista | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Account | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Dreaming | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Music Amore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Orange Diablo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unreasonable | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speedtail | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shogun Be Fast | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yell County | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drobny | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge J J | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Workislife | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Techne | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s Got This | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trident Hit | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allege | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugoi | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pledgeofallegiance | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Icarus | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Bariley | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Max’s Map | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stretch Ride | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andy’s Candy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nyquist Frequency | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Maestro | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | With Full Honors | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Judgment | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Agoo | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Herb | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bank | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Topsy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parody | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Goat | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Somebody’s Problem | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Present Time | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unsung Melody | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Arlington | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Lute | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Condensation | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wilma Mankiller | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | All Choked Up | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Le Griffon | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pensacola | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lincoln Highway | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Ocean Pointe | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mackillop | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unleash the Power | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Oscar Award | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jungfrau | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redemption Time | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hardy Choice | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Nerves of Steel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boco | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mischievous Angel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Event Detail | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Three On the Tree | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fashion King | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Usain | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Doubloon | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pass Line | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chance | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alilnalot | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreamwithinadream | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enough Already | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jay Bird | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Away From Home | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Battle Born | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smoke Wagon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rivoli | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Unwrapped | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Paved in Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | City of Love | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.