Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shaky Pants | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party With Smarty | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Stride | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New York Strong | 1.20 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treble Clef | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Frolic | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Get the Candy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Theodora Grace | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Im Just Kiddin | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Itsakeyper | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fontanafredda | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Masterof the Tunes | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kerry | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Faith in Humanity (FR) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Favor | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Traffic Song | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Messidor (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adaay In Asia (GB) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ok Honey | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Movie Moxy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Takntothecleaners | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Gerrymander | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Balpool | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Value Area | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Value Area | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1A | 2 | Catherine Wheel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Value Area | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Ringy Dingy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Althena | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Matagora Bay | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martingale | 1.20 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Montego Bay | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Wake Up Lauren | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Audacious | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | B D Saints | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frozen Four | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Knight’s Courage | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vin Santo | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eric From Miami | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dillon | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ez Roll | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Benzodini | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charging Fast | 3.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dunedin Causeway | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scoop the Pot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sebastianthe First | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Patronage | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | King Freud | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Specialagentjonson | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Mike | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality G | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bricco | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Willintoriskitall | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingfish Stevens | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Front Man | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Gatling | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Abarrio | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extreme Access | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carlin Clan | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Addicted to You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ski Patrol | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fredo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mudville Nine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blame D Rule Maker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hatch | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Makar | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moving Pictures | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kbcya Later | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dads Good Runner | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Banker | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excess Demand | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | M B’s Munning | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hyper Speed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Film Star | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Constitutionlawyer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Works | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern District | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Banker | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laughing Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Costa Terra | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lachaise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whistler’s Honor | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sonic Speed | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Chase | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timbuktu | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Be of Courage | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barrel of Quests | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shinsun | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Huntsman | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giramonte | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morethanafeeling | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | P Money | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Kringle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sell Something | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Achilles Heel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.