Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Great Illusion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flight Catcher | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decisive Warrior | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peyton’s Day | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Friend | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Believer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tenth Mountain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dr Bayter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tepper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capturethelaughter | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ember | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Fantasy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bluto’s Candy | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Spreader | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ambushed | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Az Nails | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Rock | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More Debt | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sebaray | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Lieutenant | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duke Skywalker | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Action Dream | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | North Carolina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Deliberation | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eternal Flame | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Red Man | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin Cloud | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harry’s Onthebeach | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Attitude | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Getaway | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arrogancy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Echo Lane | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Strategy Jak | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Themanupfront | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Embrace the Dream | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halon | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Billy Go | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Never Say Never | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saybrook | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Squints | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sabian | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Battle Cry | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Jae | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swoonatra | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streaking Grey | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khosea | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sandpiper Memories | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barbara | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gratia | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Demogorgon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Skull | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Improptude | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roar Ready | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simsoum | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fulanito | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amaranto | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Go Santi | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mauricio | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bear’s Den S.) – Bear’s Den S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Amstrong | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Roller | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | McMoney | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Striker | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unified Weekend | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Tones | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Free Smoke | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love Me Not | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loco Abarrio | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rebelde | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knox | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fivefive Six Champ | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Humor | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cross Haste | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Song Runner | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belts ‘n Brooks | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miguel’s Belle | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Revolu | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bedrock Birdie | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Lady Indy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Recovery | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Venezuela | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Platinum Rocker | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Siljim | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Amy the Butcher | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Miss | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Umbral | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Etrurian | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Oya Thunder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.