Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Solomons Gold |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carolina Traffic |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nico’s Having Fun |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Great Kostas |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Doc Ballard |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tapit’s Direction |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Geothermal |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Let’s Go Philly |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lets Go Koko |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Time Miss |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nunofthisnunofthat |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kiki |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bahamian Baby |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Future Fortune |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Astral Weeks |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dream of Blessings |
1.40 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Leopardi |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Super Curioso (ARG) |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nature Boy |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Federal Exchange |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Texas Air Force |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Praiseworthy |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Problem Joe |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
El Principito |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Galipan |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
We Got This |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Full Nelson |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fly the W |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Xy Time |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Swashbuckle |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Best Distance |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Warp Speed Baby |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Make Decisions |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wind Ninety Nine |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rock the Stars |
8.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chess’s Dream |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Reminder |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Freedom Principle |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Papalote |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grand Tower |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summer Storm Stric |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Revelatory |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Corruption |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
The Mrs |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gitana |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fawning |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gunesh |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anatomy |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mistica Traviesa (CHI) |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zosterop |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Sterling Harmony |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starship Wizard |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chaina |
10.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lord Eddard Stark |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Street Glide |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Mar |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Captain Anthony |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Crusader |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.