Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fear of Union | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Dr Kringle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Active Duty | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fear of Union | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Derrick | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luna Vieja | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Player | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Game Warden | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runningforjoy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carmichael | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Boss | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trigger Happy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Longshadow | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Peterkin | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cox Canyon | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coalminer’s Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Donya Know It | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tap N Sway | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Priddis | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joan’s Way | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Everyotherwon | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Dazzle | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duplicitous | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | April’s No Fool | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | L. A. Star | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holdontoyourtiara | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stanley Market | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sassy Walker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowichan (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scatlie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Star | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red River Magic | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Miss Hattie | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Going the Distance | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream On Stormy | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mon Dieu | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Endora | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Get Twisted | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Polks | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phreddie Mac | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Northern Flame | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Phreddie Mac | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Men Violin | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B Wayne | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farm Team | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chaperone | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Omex | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucerito Blanco | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Rhodes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Home Port | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Argumental | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Way Or Another | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Condiment Girl | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motown Mika | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coexist | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What’s to Do | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warp Nine | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Parchment Party | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Le Gris | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Django | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collins | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Diamond | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharpenyourfaith | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allied Victory | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Magic | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warp Nine | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parchment Party | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Rascal | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Normandy Hero | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Balta | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Andy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coulditbemajic | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Battle | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mi Oscuro Secreto | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sponge Bath | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Martini | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Hideaway | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Time Mo | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Applause | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Gone | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stir Crazy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Hauler | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friendlypersuasion | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lilly Lane | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roc’s Princess | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweets Maker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Itsablingthing | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stagflation | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chanel Point | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Birdie Rose | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Filly Crystal | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imperator Furiosa | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Best Day Ever | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Market Profile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Crushed Ice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.