Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Baby Sox | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maggie | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Serenade Soldier | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodbye Kyle | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phinneys Harbor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Poetry | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unholy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Mama Mia | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Mystique | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strange Fruit | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cause I’m Elegant | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shotgun Patsy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maxing the Bank | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power and Glory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tivy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenebris | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pay Zone | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clubhouse | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Built to Last | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baron’s Legacy | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rough Draft | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rinaldi | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Citizen K | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Straight Arrow | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Go Big Blue | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King of Comedy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocala Dream | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Agent Creed | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klickitat | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Bobby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Brew Pub | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Battle Scars | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thrill of It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Colloquy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome Czech | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Czech | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Your Honey | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bertrille | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Once an Eagle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Alittlebitnaughty | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Denver’s Alley | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bossy Jeans | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bornforgreatness | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Free for Me | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Is All Busines | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coney | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Boxed Wine | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Broken Banker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Saratoga Smokeshow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Buona Salute | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Concerto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Risk Free | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onlooker | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thought Experiment | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feathering | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party At Grants | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Girvina | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Put the Crazy Away | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Time to Dream | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Boi | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 9 | Rotknee | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Sheriff Bianco | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willy Boi | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Provocateur | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | He’smyhoneybadger | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Ny Traffic | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Synthesis | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Kinetic Sky | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Amundson | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Colonel Bowman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Winter Memories S.) – Winter Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Liguria | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Junipermarshmallow | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Get Your Kicks | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tax Implications (GB) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soviet Excess | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Beth | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Skillet | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bolivie (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Wish | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetlou’sgotaces | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Plentitude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stephanie’s Charm | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Balpool | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Neecie Marie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ichiban | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lifelovenlaughter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gioia Mia | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sun and Wind | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Follow Your Arrow | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Being Betty | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Up | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Needed | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mother Mary | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stormy Disco | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Superstarsusan | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mastery’s Secret | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dancing Liana | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Book of Wisdom | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mel’s Angel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Holder Close | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Elusive Fashion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bank On Belle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.