Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catholic Guilt | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absaroka | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deanos Cape | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mint | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Line | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sexy Dexy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Be Wild | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Catchem If You Can | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ti Caillou | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soldiers Sacrifice | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tap N Play | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Dandy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Admiral Risty | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Right Cider | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stoops Sine Die | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riden the Legend | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minister Maz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gold Baron | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Flight | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Appleseed | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | From Pit to Palace | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Expansion | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rancho a Go Go | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky McCoy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bidofhoney | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shacked Stateside | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dodgeball | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy in Heels | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal Queen | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yvonne’s Miss | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eliza Rose | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runnin Boots | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blooming Hills | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr Vinnie Boombatz | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Humor Me Please | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Wing | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Crew | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Curlin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mendel Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wiseacre | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dawson City | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Top Cop | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan Express | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander Rex | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Ice | 1.40 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daboogeyman | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Creek | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Flash | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oklahoma Moon | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charliecando | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bayron | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Aaron | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trappe Valley | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Order of Merit | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reverend Aj | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sidetown | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suitable | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fire Extinguisher | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whooping Jay | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Connors Outlaw | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly to the Bank | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That’s Something | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mesa Moon | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pomeroy Haze | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Varsity | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pride of Argyle | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drama Critic | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’ll Do | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Projection | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nerky Rose | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wave After Wave | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slick Country Boy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spin to Win | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.