Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whats Up Buttercup | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Church Girl | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tourist Style | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Gift | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesomely Wild | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Survival Rose | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hermosa Mujer | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bianca Luna | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Neogem | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shewillghostu | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Wasabi for Me | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margeaux Romance | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Macha | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kilkenny Bella | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Envelope (IRE) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emergency Response | 1.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Travel Guide | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rule It | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paradise Drive | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Decisive Pride | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dunkle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Arte de Guerra | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sophia’s Storm | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Get Khozy | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poiema | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Outta Here | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Analogy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Happy Girl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ginger Sparkle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vito’s Brother | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Preach | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hunca Munca | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Break Out | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Asp | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Orb Alpha | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adiamond Isforever | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Downey’s Way | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hancock | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Mo Town | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Doorman | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gentleman Gerry | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truth and Honesty | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racket | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Brave | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belly of Jelly | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Khozy Colby | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Frosty | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | De Regreso | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Skye | 3.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blythwood | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Country Economics | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taprixie | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Az Can Be | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Uno | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Minxy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Connection | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olga | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Princess | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dignified | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girvin Girl | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prettykeen | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Organist | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Lyte Crude | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Organist | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chacharero | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncaptured Tiger | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Granted Success | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Fox Hills | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Westun Time | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Su Dream | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.