Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Annoy Me | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Santa Clara | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight in Prague | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paul’s Tricky Tale | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lifesawindingroad | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowgirl Hop | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conspiracy Fact | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Spoke | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s to Blame | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Faces | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kidyounot | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teewinot Pass | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salty Heir | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heavenly Appointed | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nonna’s Tiramisu | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Evita | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Gang That Sang | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sergeant Molly | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Compass Rises | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Princess | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just Plain Ornery | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wonder Water | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s On Fire | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Im Your Papi | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spectrier | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lawlessness | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gabbys Big Notion | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Old Bay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boh’s N O’s | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischiefness | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wilpic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart With Heart | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doesn’thurttoflirt | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kapadokya | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Summer Love | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Cajun Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Pacific | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Jo Jo | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Island Belle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earley Rose | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G G’s Dark Star | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Purrfect Dani | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She So Cool | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circle of Courage | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emilia’s Legacy (PER) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stern Chaser | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Cloudy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mademoisellejackie | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Youens | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abidale | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fearless Kristie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless Kelly | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Titoschangedmyluck | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blonde Samaritan | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Work Hard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Rockin | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play Hard | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rubys Flash | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Style Me Royal | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Tiger | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subscribed | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.