Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wine Responsibly | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marco T. | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Split Strike | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khadullah | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Burgundy | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play Free Bird | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | State of Readiness | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Pharaoh | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Woke Up Quick | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Solo Rye’d | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Score the Rock | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Charging Fast | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dunedin Causeway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | She Is All Busines | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Follow Your Arrow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mama’s Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Just Katherine | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Raging Sea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coppa Girl | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mariah’s Appeal | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amanda’s Folly | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Katherine | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toned Up | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wishing On a Star | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tower Bridge | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Bernard Baruch S.) – Bernard Baruch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emaraaty (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Wit | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Public Sector (GB) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emaraaty (GB) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneering Spirit | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bring Me a Check | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Senor Jobim | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swiftsure | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jemography | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Float On | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sagamore Mischief | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scilly Cay | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flint Ridge | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Tryst | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | H P Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lord Captain | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Voleuse | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prince of Truth | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Scherzando | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Vaunted | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Ripe for Mischief | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 10 | Bustino Santino | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Russi | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heroneandonly | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Okaloosa | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Doctor Jerry | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Sondsliksomdiniddo | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Lady Banker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Z Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wisecracker | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nippy Fitz | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sorority Prank | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smile Takes Charge | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diannesretiring | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Solo’s Fury | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonne Chance | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winwood | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Az U Chase Me | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arco Augusta | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Canigetaloan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Aggelos the Great | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Quiet Wisdom | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Strawberry Kwik | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Catalina Crush | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vettriano | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smokie Eyes | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Waterville | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overacting | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snowy Evening | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crimson Princess | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sals Dream Girl | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Princess | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joeybignose | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Chrome | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shesascoldasice | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spooky Lady | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shoopthereitis | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stella Mars | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Yogi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shigeko | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lavon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Newport Bridge | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asymmetric | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Win for Gold | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be the Boss | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agility | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Always Charming | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Buck Freddy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Callaloo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thank You Jon | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Cent Town | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Know How | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kasimba | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be There | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Borletti (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Liquid Addiction (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collect From Ike | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Off the Clock | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Man Jimmy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Acceptance | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triumphant Road | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unclecharliesgift | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Hopeful S.) – Hopeful S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nutella Fella | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Nutella Fella | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Pirate | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Timberlake | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Sweep | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be You | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yo Yo Candy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valentine Candy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Steel | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pirate | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mission Beach | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nutella Fella | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Chatterbox | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Muth | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lt. Mitchell | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chulligan | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fake Celebrity | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scaramanga | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prix de West | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unaffected | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paschal Moon | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dolly’s Bank | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bastion | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Kreesa | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mugsy Fury | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Manticore | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Impazible Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Zapruder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aula | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hari | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.