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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Come Dream With Me 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 No Problem Joe 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Rye’s My Guy 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Guaio 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Hermoso Hombre 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Red Abarrio 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 We Got This 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cajun Vibes 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hay Hay Paula 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Drinks On Me 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Golden Voice 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Solair 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lexinator 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ala Turka 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Silvia V’s Heroes 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Burnaway 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Miss Bia 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 One Smokin’ Rita 1.60 4 8-1
2 2 Digital Trade 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Dreambigorgohome 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Longing for Mints 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’ll Figure It Out 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sarawat 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Royal Kitten 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Another Duke 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Rare Jewel 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lee Ann’s Warrior 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Sir Kahn 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ale’s Gift 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Next On Stage 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Dreamy 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Are You Single 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Cant Stop Dreaming 4.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Unrelentless 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Reina Mar 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Girvin’s Princess 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Rose of Tralee 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 You Talkin to Me 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 A Rose for Raven 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Surrogate 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Uncle Armando 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Keanu 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Caxambas Candy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Casually 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Iron Shield 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Isayso 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Loveys Embrace 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Classic Ballad 2.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Gita’s Miracle 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Seat At the Table 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Talk Much 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Action Rose 4.50 1.3 3-1
8 8 She’s So Bearrish 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Our Fortune Cookie 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Tayyara 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Val’s Gal 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lady Petal 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Antrim 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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