Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sugar N Spice | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Natty Patty | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Life’s an Audible | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lyrical Pardon | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baraye | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Z Train (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Echo Baybe (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tammy Lynn | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Housefly (IRE) | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luz Divina | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Agra | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Reagan’s Flame | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Value Area | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Salvadorena | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | To Be Loved by You | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Matagora Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Moonlight | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accretive | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tonal Impact | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guntown | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Night | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ram | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Flower Bowl S.) – Flower Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | McKulick (GB) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Grace (GER) | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parnac (FR) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tamarama (GB) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Frat Pack | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Native | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Ocean’s Reserve | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Daufuskie Island | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Trafalgar | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Baytown Bear | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Ludwig | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Bash | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chileno | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Prioress S.) – Prioress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Blue | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alva Starr | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Pearl | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unified Alliance | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unsung Melody | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Agate Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tom Collins | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Driver | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ocala Rocket | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stolen Magic | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vin Santo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Walley World | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Get Ready to Rock | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buffoon (FR) | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zverev | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Noble Wave | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tropandhagen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unique Insight | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fortune Seller | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Uncle Bo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Live to Ride (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | General Partner | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enlighten | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rivetage | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ask Isaac | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jefferson Street | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dive Bomber | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrock Shake | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Be Happy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justifiably So | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Typhoon Fury | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pentathlon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Deposition | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Harvey Pack S.) – Harvey Pack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Invasion | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Shot | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Buck | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Mmmmm | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thin White Duke | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chess Master | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jake Rocks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sheriff Bianco | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Willy Boi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Tosconova Beauty | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Athena Beach | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Big Bean Christine | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fancy Feline | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Sandy’s Garden | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Meraviglioso | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Majestic Return | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Missing Fortune | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Richies Princess | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forces Sweetheart | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Easy Play | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Robyn and Eli | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Fancypants Juliana | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | I’m Very Busy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ruse | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Spirit | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heathguard | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Landbiscuit | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Danzigwiththestars | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Drakon | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Internal Capital | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | So High (GB) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fredo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tallahatchiebridge | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bad to the Bones | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Saqeel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Brew Pub | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Starrystarryknight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Al’s Rocket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Jockey Club Gold Cup S.) – Jockey Club Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rattle N Roll | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tyson | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proxy | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bright Future | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clapton | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Bomber | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Johny | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duke of Love | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jannie Mae | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Road | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lem Me Drink | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sperss | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jayla | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Outta the Cloud | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pinstripepizzo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camcha | 2.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Barb | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Knockzcatoffzfence | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Duneen Bay | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | So Are You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Arisaema | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Embraceable Gal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mary Katherine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stone of Destiny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.