Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sonofaship | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sanderson | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Gent (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reverend Moon | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patriot Hills | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vesture | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cigale | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Par | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Run Jalen Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Joe’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dolomite | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snarky | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Munny Grab | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Mane Squeeze | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mother Mary | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carol T | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfectly Mperfect | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poseidon’s Mist | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wise Conversation | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Security Code | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Joke | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Fist | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Security Code | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Khali Magic | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shesawildjoker | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ribot’s Valentine | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ok Honey | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Saranac S.) – Saranac S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mendelssohns March | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carl Spackler (IRE) | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lost Ark | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yacowlef (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taking Candy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Trail | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gilmore | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Activist Investing (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Right to Vote | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tornado Road | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Resilience | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arteta | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drum Roll Please | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Fast | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Locked | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Plate | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sturdy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hamilton’s Way | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Don Vino Vici | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Focus Pocus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Kinda Mischief | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Chariot | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ekwanok | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Concerto | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Call Her Bluff | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unicorn Cake | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Maximus | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Disco | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Regenerator | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Expand the Map (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Quarrel | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dear Lady | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m So Sorry | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swoop to Finish | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Rhombique | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stephanie’s Charm | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | Run Devil | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Starship Defiant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Amanda’s Folly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Raging Sea | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Root Cause | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Coppa Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Tamarama (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Law | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hatch | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Cup | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gun Maestro | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fight Fiercely | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forced Ranking | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basis Risk | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pine Valley | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run Smitty Run | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Improper | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Icy Flavor | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saint Selby | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winners Laugh | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vacation Dance | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Feathers Road | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Disarmed | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bar Fourteen | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Deano | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Moonracer | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Me ‘n Sap | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scilly Cay | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bold Looker | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deputy Connect | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Diamonds | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Strong Light | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Justice Department | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mayfield Strong | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inspector | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Excess Demand | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sounds Spooky | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scotto | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ableton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Proven Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Skate to Heaven | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.