Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Grami’s Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eldon’s Samurai | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uptowneagleslanded | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weldon G | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Tyro | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lock Up Your Pets | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grayghostgranville | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Don’task Don’ttell | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johan Zoffani (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fred’stwirlincandy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catholic Guilt | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Speed Racer Go | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guinessey | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devamani (FR) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simply Wicked | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Colosi | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bubba Bling | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Math Mystery | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danzig Up a Storm | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minnesota Nice | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cali | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsonlymoneyhoney | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lynn’s Folly | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Accelerate Judy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belle Elena | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nubility | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judy’s Custard | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bulleit Rocks | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | West Coast Fashion | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aztec City | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daretocatchlove | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Shortys Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ima Bling Cat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic King | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Baker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heroic Song | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yankee Indian | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hamazing Wisdom | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Aaron | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sister Honey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Dreaming | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Antifreeze | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krik Tak | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All American Lady | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Pay No Hay | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Maybelenne | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anna Up | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Answer the Call | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ekati’s Hit | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camden’s Beauty | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rainbows Are Free | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Special Treasure | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Because | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Joyce | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Zone | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Okie | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Green Light Girl | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lena’s Shadow | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Black Coffee Buzz | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Expensive Liaison | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shade | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blameitonmidnight | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feeling Happy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rivercrest Girl | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Birdie Curdy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Its My Money Too | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vino Bianco | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat Storm | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Upturned Brim | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Windy O K C | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toro Santo | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s Got a Secret | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wreck It | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cowboy Walt | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kentucky Dawn | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frankensteiner | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Power (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.