Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Sass | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tested Positive | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Spun | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fessin Up | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmydabook | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stavros | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sporting the Gold | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Brook | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Mind | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paynted Thunder | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sagamoose | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | White Lilacs | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Valla | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bali Kuta | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gennie Highway | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dry Well | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amazon Queen | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Glossamer | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Vibes | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Arrow | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tak E Lady | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Raise the Rent | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Defend | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Song | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Sicarii | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bazoo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redeem Eddie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brooklyn Girlee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expectations Met | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nancy Spain | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of the Mud (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bossy Diva | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sundog | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reppazz | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Jelly Bean | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Believe in Lov | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yeloma | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Remember Me | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lubu | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Fabulous | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ninetyninecarats | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Navani | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Great | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Crybaby | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Regal Kingdom | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Who’s Counting | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Absam | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artemus Bridge | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Semper Fi | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Headed | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nautilus | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King Tsunami | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lacco Ameno | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Tails | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McSteamy | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Licorice | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | The Colora Kid | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Doin’ittherightway | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Thrill | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Political | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Pendleton | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock Solid Golfer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Textpectation | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monday’s With Mike | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.