Site icon Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hepburn 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Laila Bella Girl 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sadie the Goat 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Lucy’s Cookie 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Marshmallow Queen 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Flower Mound 4.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Gouldian 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Courageous Copper 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Papa Katz 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Midnight Chaos 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Harry’s Onthebeach 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Capturethelaughter 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sebaray 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Big Balloons 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Fast Fixer 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Megan Makin Money 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tinkatwo 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Kingdom’s Spirit 30.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Top Look 1.80 3.6 7-1
5 5 Glazed Ginger 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Free Cristina 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Midnight Pranks 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Vanishing Interest 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Southern Dream 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Mwari 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Immense Faith 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mr. Rhodium 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Alexander Helios 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Island Magic 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 La Chica Lateral 12.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Shall Return 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dudesfirstdarling 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Shes a Gift 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Raw Honey 30.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Mudshaft 30.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Demurely 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Countless Dreams 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Concrete Glory 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Pure Speight 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 I’ll Figure It Out 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Hercules 2.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Nature Boy 30.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Rhymes Like Dimes 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sophia’s Storm 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rain 3.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Pacific Princess 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Ghostly Night 10.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Kaeko 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Dignified 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Awesome Annmarie 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Divine Connection 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Three Witches 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Adios Baby 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Anatomy 1.80 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mistica Traviesa (CHI) 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Principia 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ornela (CHI) 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Millie (CHI) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Straight Time 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bold Advance 1.40 1.9 4-1
1 1 Doc Ballard 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Brooklyn Dreams 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Travel Guide 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Paradise Drive 30.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Saga 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Noble and Kind 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version