Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Buffalo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Appendage | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Gran Cuyaya | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sette Stelle | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sun of Silver | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nature Ofthe Beast | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Social Joe | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Truly Mischief | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Cat | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big John | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giuseppe | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stonecoldwarrior | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Devil | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Boss | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seiver | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Enchantment (FR) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Believe in Freedom | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nancy My Love | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Jo Jo | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boardwalk Fries | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bring the Magic | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Animal Princess | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Qia | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Incontrovertible | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zipper Zapper | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Cloud | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girolamo’s Attack | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melina’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Friend Linus | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmic Treasure | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taino | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Strut | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palacsinta | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spoils of War | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnolia Road | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wine in the Dark | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lilli Rose | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sultry Sky | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sensible Marriage | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medb | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Diva of Seville | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Game | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Jump a Fox | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kirrabon | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bionic Kat | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Affable Monarch | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Jake | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caughtandcollected | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerness | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Imagination | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Welaka | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Boss Logic | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Matuschek | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | K’s Pick | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Luck (CHI) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polterer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Expensive Cut | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Entertainment | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unconquered Spirit | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Colbaloaf | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Out of Towner | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damir | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dramatized | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Skipster | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monday’s With Mike | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sir Lumpalot | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morales Little Kid | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Popper | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toro Forward | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Partner | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unxpected Tiger | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finn’s Point | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.