Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Farm Dog | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bluegrass Breeze | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dominant Okie | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suitable | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dude Perfecta | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold N Wild | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Major Griffin | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Bad Boy | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Paynter | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tater | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mazuma | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bender | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silence d’Oro | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Union Data | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crooked Fellow | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiterose Jewel | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mountain Breeze | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cherokee Legacy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nightwind | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Noise Complaint | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bread Winner | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Honor | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morolicious | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Songwriter | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Calipari | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Wully Bully | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Runner | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gist | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Soldier Boy | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jackman | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ernie Banker | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wobberjod | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Euromantic | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burninhunkoflove | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Order of Merit | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ornately | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hooray for Credit | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Occurrence | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Makin Girl | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Leah | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Girl With Attitude | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Gin | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daretocatchlove | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Wildcat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Fabulous | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Lena | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cinnamon Face | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Teo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Fury | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lapis Lazuli | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shell Shocker | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aaron’s Spirit | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uptown Hustler | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bling Mountain | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Furious Avenger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cueca | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okie Code | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Va Voom | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Sister | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little River Jewel | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace the Lady | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eura Northern Sky | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | When Judy Calls | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donnatheprimadonna | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stayed in for Half | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Under the Gun | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alto Road | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U. S. Army | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autumns Strong Man | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pinky Ring Bling | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Code | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dean’s List | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impressed | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Xperiment | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empire of Gold | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It Makes Sense | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dame Plata | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jackman’s Ride | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bodenheimer | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ocelot | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pomeroy Haze | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Wayside | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reverend Aj | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ship It Red | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Putman | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cinco Steve | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capt. St. Jacques | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.