Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boy Magic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Night Out | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Play Like a Raven | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willy D’s | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Reproach | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jiggery Pokery | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shea D World | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mantaketheblesings | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Fred | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Factor U and Me In | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Living in Style | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Insouciant | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Killy Start | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bravo Zulu | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sing Scat | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Kitten | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mosalah | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossyness | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Arrow | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Water Witch | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Waterworks | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sacred Union | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prussian Blue | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Music | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Quint | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collection Day | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Constitution | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Filigree | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brother Showtyme | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Way too Early | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Red Hot and Blue | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trope | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creole | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racing | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apple Shake Shake | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Union | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Volta d’Oro | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bounty Killah | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Princess | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blonde Samaritan | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vana Bright | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carroll Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ragtime Belle | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chorus Girl | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peppermint Class | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Practicality | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Paloma | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flirtatious Lass | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mainline | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Michele M. | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Systemic Risk | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scamper Along | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Murph | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Lancer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truly Ambitious | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Rule | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mogalu | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Warrior | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sutton Valley | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Overbearing | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pepe and Heywood | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meru | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apache | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.