Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Sheppard H.) – Jonathan Sheppard H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Theocrat (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noah And The Ark (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | L’Imperator (FR) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merry Maker (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caramelised (GB) | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awakened | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | McTigue (IRE) | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy P | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redicean (GB) | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | West Newton (GB) | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Munnings | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Bustin Shout | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Munnings | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Shout | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bronx Bomber | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lohengrin Two | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Built | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unflappable Max | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Graywing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | High Front | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Slipstream | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Cazadero | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mid Day Image | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Jaxon Traveler | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Arzak | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Thin White Duke | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Coppola | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Bring Me a Check | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1X | 11 | Colonel Bowman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel Valley | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Lt. Mitchell | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tony O | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slapintheface | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fluorescent Bay | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laurel Valley | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Hill | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Druid | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cash Bail | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tip of the Boot | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dolly’s Bank | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bastion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aula | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I’m Just | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | April Antics | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I’m Nervous Now | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Disruption | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kara Para | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Chrome | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Charge Nurse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Shigeko | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Red Moon | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B D Saints | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Mischief Joke | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Benzodini | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B D Saints | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Eighty Five | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Albedo | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skyler’s Starship | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Pharaoh | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Officer Derick | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ez Roll | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hal Away | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (John’s Call S.) – John’s Call S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Burning Bright | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tawny Port | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Skate | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sy Dog | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | British Royalty | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tide of the Sea | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mystic Night | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Reds | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pioneering Spirit | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Serifos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockstar Red | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Rockstar Red | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Favorite Topic | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wild Guess | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mufrih | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Strapped | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bee Well | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sixwillberich | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into It | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz the Coast | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Lister | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Elusive Drwong | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt d’Plata | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fast Boat to Skye | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Collect From Ike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gold Franc (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Vigano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amundson | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aggregation | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Straight Arrow | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Montebello | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radio Red | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Pharoahs | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thrill of It | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | What’s Up Bro | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brew Pub | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zeebear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Shesasmalltowngirl | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Accept the Outcome (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiescent | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Mami Love | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lexi’s Spirit | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Negra Gata | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Tropical | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Iguazu (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Penny | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solevo Spritz | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nursekringledances | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cherokee Cottage | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.