Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Parkerness | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Skull | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collect Redemption | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Cash | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finally Captured | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Feet | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Top of the Mint | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Lulu | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notion to Tapit | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Maestro | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trophy Room | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seeing Red | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Edward Madden | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blind Eye | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mintenon | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Photo Copy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winged Foot | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toro Forward | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pavoni | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bali Riddim | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shellback | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Henderson | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Factum Love Style | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Principe | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Cajun Lady | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She So Cool | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coco Puff | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suzy Q the Queen | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purrfect Dani | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Lille | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harper’s Do | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jaylee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | College Try | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chez Soleil | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peace Fire | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire At Midnight | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allie’s Halo | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Magnolia Road | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Search | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bounty Killah | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Best Worst Idea | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Opinionated | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kirrabon | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bionic Kat | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Image | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Epicurean | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reiterate | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aferdita | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boss Like Beth | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Super Sally | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liking It Twisted | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thea’s Theme | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Q F Seventy Five | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swan Lake | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | It Can Be Done | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smithwick’s Spice | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Breakin Cash | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Supremacy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greatheart | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wow Whata Summer | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tough Tickets | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McSteamy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saranac (FR) | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hurricane Andrew | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Warrior | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strike Me Down | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taco Bean | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Shooter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Briggs | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Solution | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | His Royal G | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Beau | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Litigant | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crownedcountcristo | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.